Loyalty Program Incrementality for Small Format | MostEdge
How Do You Prove Your Loyalty Program Caused the Visit? The Incrementality Problem Nobody Solves for Small Format A loyalty dashboard showing that enrolled members visited three times more often than non-members doesn't answer the question that matters: would those same members have visited three times as often anyway, simply because they were already the store's best customers before they ever enrolled. That gap between correlation and causation is called incrementality, and the standard way to measure it assumes something a single convenience location usually doesn't have: a comparison group of non-members who actually look like the members. The Standard Method, and Why It Assumes a Population Convenience Retail Doesn't Have The established approach, well-documented across loyalty marketing practice, is a matched control group: identify non-enrolled customers who look statistically similar to enrolled ones at the moment of launch, then track both groups forward withou...